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Cambridgeshire Insight OpenData

Welcome to Cambridgeshire Insight Open Data
Funded by the LGA Open data Breakthrough Fund

Other stories

07/20/2017 - 11:32

Not all housing is the traditional "bricks and mortar" we tend to think of. There are lots of less permanent housing types, including houseboats, park homes and caravans.

Across our local area, a number of individuals and families live in "non traditional" accommodation.

This story brings together some brief data and identifies links to find out more about the types, scale and occupation of "non-traditional" housing in our area.

01/18/2017 - 15:08

“Data is the new oil…” is a phrase often used by those in the industry to describe the vast, valuable and extremely powerful resource available to us. We generate an astronomical amount of data, in fact 90% of the data in the world today has been created in the last two years alone according to IBM.

10/14/2016 - 17:50

It has been estimated that there were 257 deaths attributable to particulate air pollution in Cambridgeshire in 2010 and that over 5% of Cambridgeshire’s population mortality is attributed to air pollution (based on ambient levels of PM2.5). The percentage in Cambridge is 5.8% which equates to 47 deaths attributable to air pollution (http://cambridgeshireinsight.org.uk/JSNA/Transport-and-Health-2014/15)

10/06/2016 - 15:00

What is Hate Crime? A hate crime is one which is “committed against someone because of their disability, gender-identity, race, religion or belief, or sexual orientation” (1). It covers a wide range of crime types including assault, harassment, and inciting others to commit hate crimes. Following the EU referendum on 23rd June, the Police experienced a 57% increase in national reporting of hate crime to their online reporting site between 23rd and 26th June compared to the same time 4 weeks before (2).

08/16/2016 - 11:09

Why is understanding fuel poverty important?

Every year, fuel poverty in the UK makes headlines, for example:

Cold homes caused 9,000 deaths last winter, study suggests http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35862763

Number of households in fuel poverty rises to 2.38m http://home.bt.com/news/uk-news/number-of-households-in-fuel-poverty-rises-to-238m-11364070914599

Fuel poverty is caused by a combination of fuel costs, poverty and inefficient housing stock, and can have a range of effects including:

What do the school based forecasts tell us about predicted rolls in Cambridgeshire?

Forecasting pupil rolls can be tricky business but getting it right can be sweet.

Our first data story on school forecasting discussed how the school based forecasts help to offer insight into future demand for each school within the county. In order to plan provision strategically though, it is also important to look at how individual forecasts look from a county wide perspective. A countywide forecast report is produced each year and can be viewed here.

Data story 1 gave you some background to the pupil forecasting that we are doing here in Cambridgeshire but now we want to have a look about what the data within the school based forecasts aretelling us about predicted future rolls within the county. We did also discuss though how the school based forecasts are limited to the existing capacity of each school and is not always truly reflective of the overall pressures that may be placed on this capacity. The catchment based forecasts help here in that they are not restricted and forecasts the school age population living within a catchment area rather than the school rolls. The forecast numbers for the current Cambridgeshire catchment forecasts will be explored in our next data story.

Highlights of the school roll forecasts

The highlights of the forecast figures based on the January School Census currently predict:

• In five years’ time, total primary rolls are forecast to be around 4.0% higher than current numbers in the authority as a whole.

• For the LA as a whole, the number of reception age pupils is forecast to be very similar in five years’ time, with a slight decrease, due to a lower number of births.

• Primary rolls are currently forecast to be 0.5% lower in South Cambridgeshire in five years’ time. A lower level of growth has been seen here in recent years.

• Rolls are forecast to be 7.5% higher in Fenland and 7.3% higher in Cambridge City

Figure 1: Actual and forecast numbers of primary aged pupils in Cambridgeshire, 2005/06 to 2025/26

Figure 1 of School Rolls 2015/16

• The number of 11 year olds is forecast to increase rapidly over the next 10 years by 17% to around 6,740. This increase is particularly marked in Cambridge City (27%), Fenland (18%), and Huntingdonshire (17%). Growth is forecast to be lowest in East Cambridgeshire (9%) followed by South Cambridgeshire (14%).

• The forecasts show that the number of 11 to 15 year olds is expected to remain relatively stable for the next year before increasing more noticeably as larger primary cohorts filter through. Between now and 2025/26 the number of 11 to 15 year olds is expected to increase by 14% from 28,301 to around 34,422 pupils.

• Over the next five years, there is only a slight change in the forecasted numbers of 11 to 15 year olds in Fenland (9.1%) and Huntingdonshire (4.4%). In Cambridge City, numbers are expected to increase by 23.4% while in East Cambridgeshire and South Cambridgeshire numbers are expected to increase by 19.8% and 18.6% respectively.

Figure 2: Actual and forecast numbers of 11 to 15 year old pupils in Cambridgeshire, 2005/06 to 2025/26

School Rolls 2015/16

• The total number of forecasts 16 to 18 year olds on rolls in Cambridgeshire is forecast to fall slightly over the next five years before increasing again reflecting forecast declines in numbers in Fenland (5%) and Huntingdonshire (11%) over the next five years.

• Over the next ten years, the number of sixth form pupils in Cambridgeshire is forecast to increase by around 15%. This is driven by a forecasted 40% increase in Cambridge City and significant gains in East Cambridgeshire and South Cambridgeshire; 54% and 25% increases respectively.

Background

The Cambridgeshire Research Group produce a county wide forecast report that provides a local view of the forecast scenario for the future. This report is also broken down to show projections at individual district level. This report can be accessed by clicking here (http://cambridgeshireinsight.org.uk/education/pupilprojections)

Contact

If you have suggestions to make or want to find out more, please contact jamie.leeman@cambridgeshire.gov.uk

Links

School capacity (SCAP) survey: Guide to forecasting pupil numbers in school place planning, https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/fil...

School Census, https://data.gov.uk/dataset/school-census CHIS, http://www.local.gov.uk/documents/10180/6410150/Child+Health+Information...